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}
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Projeção da produção de soja é reduzida; veja a semana do grão 5m4y5g
Agronegócio 29i2b Projeção da produção de soja é reduzida; veja a semana do grão 5m4y5g Publicado
2 meses ago on
23/03/2025
Foto: Vinicius Ramos/Canal Rural BA Devido às adversidades climáticas no Rio Grande do Sul, a consultoria Safras & Mercado revisou suas estimativas para a produção brasileira de soja em 2024/25. Como consequência desse ajuste, os estoques finais também foram reduzidos. No entanto, com mais de 70% da safra colhida, a produção brasileira ainda deverá ser a maior da história, pressionando as cotações.
Fique por dentro das novidades e notícias recentes sobre a soja! Participe da nossa comunidade através do link ! A nova projeção aponta para uma produção de 172,45 milhões de toneladas, um crescimento de 13,2% em relação à safra anterior, que foi de 152,3 milhões de toneladas. Apesar disso, o número é inferior à estimativa inicial de 174,88 milhões de toneladas.
Área plantada 5c55h A área plantada registrou um aumento de 2,2%, totalizando 47,47 milhões de hectares em 2024/25, contra 46,45 milhões na temporada anterior. A produtividade média deve subir de 3.295 quilos por hectare para 3.651 quilos.
“A safra brasileira continua com grande potencial, avançando bem no campo. No Rio Grande do Sul, houve um ajuste, com perdas expressivas estimadas em cerca de 34% devido à estiagem e ao calor excessivo, especialmente em fevereiro”, explica Rafael Silveira, analista da Safras & Mercado.
Por outro lado, alguns estados, como Goiás e a região do MATOPIBA, registraram revisões positivas na produtividade, favorecendo a oferta nacional. “Esse cenário reforça a expectativa de uma ampla oferta de soja brasileira em 2025”, complementa Silveira.
Oferta e demanda k3gl As exportações brasileiras de soja deverão alcançar 107 milhões de toneladas em 2025, um crescimento de 8% em relação a 2024, quando somaram 98,813 milhões de toneladas. Esse número permanece inalterado em comparação com as projeções anteriores, divulgadas em 7 de fevereiro.
O esmagamento está projetado em 55,5 milhões de toneladas para 2025, contra 54,6 milhões no ano anterior, mantendo-se sem alterações em relação ao último levantamento. As importações também seguem estáveis, estimadas em 150 mil toneladas para 2025, enquanto para 2024, o número permanece em 1 milhão de toneladas.
Crescimento 252x56 Em relação à temporada 2025, a oferta total de soja deve crescer 10%, atingindo 174,86 milhões de toneladas, enquanto a demanda total está projetada em 165,7 milhões de toneladas, um aumento de 6% em relação a 2024. Como resultado, os estoques finais deverão se elevar em 434%, ando de 1,59 milhão para 8,486 milhões de toneladas. A projeção anterior, feita em fevereiro, era de 10,914 milhões de toneladas.
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